On Jan 24, 2020 @DrEricDing posted a massive warning about the impending pandemic: The Holy Mother of God thread.
"We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen," Eric wrote.
As I read his thread again today, all of it has sadly come true
1/
He wrote:
"possibly an unchecked pandemic that the world has not seen since the 1918 Spanish Influenza. Let’s hope it doesn’t reach that level but we now live in the modern world 🌎 with faster ✈️+ 🚞 than 1918. @WHO and @CDCgov needs to declare public health emergency ASAP!"
2/
People quarreled with the R0 that was in @DrEricDing's thread, but most epidemiologists and leaders and organizations missed the forest for the trees.
We know what happened since:
240 million cases worldwide
5 million deaths
46 million cases in the US
>750,000 deaths
3/
It required quite a bit of analysis, judgment, and guts to issue that kind of warning.
Of course people didn't like to hear this kind of prediction. @dwallacewells has written about the criticism and pushback Eric faced. And how few listened.
Looking back it was not one lucky prediction. Throughout the pandemic @DrEricDing has been right numerous times while many other experts who were a lot more optimistic ended up being wrong.
From duration of vaccine efficacy to variants to issue of masks.
5/
I remember CDC deciding in June that fully vaccinated can take off their masks. I like many thought it was a reasonable call. Eric disagreed strongly. Turned out he was right.
He is one of the people I'm glad I follow coz he is up to date on everything COVID. Thanks Eric.
6/
Note that on the day he made the call, Jan 24, 2020 all of Europe had reported 3 cases. US had reported 2 cases. And @OurWorldInData doesn't start tracking till Jan 28, 2020. That's how early this warning was.
And now, on omicron: On Dec 7, 2021, Eric sounded the alarm that omicron was pandemic 2.0.
A month later, our daily new cases have gone up >4 fold. Hospitals overwhelmed.
@DrEricDing
I have this sinking feeling that we're in the denial phase of a pandemic 2.0...
And I think that's what the #Omicron is. It's a 2.0 pandemic virus, potentially.
It's SO much more transmissible than anything we had before.
In 45 days, omicron has caused massive problems. With 20 million cases and 60,000 deaths. Pandemic 2.0.
On Jan 24, 2020 @DrEricDing posted a massive warning about the impending pandemic: The Holy Mother of God thread.
"We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen," Eric wrote.
As I read his thread again today, all of it has sadly come true
1/He wrote:
"possibly an unchecked pandemic that the world has not seen since the 1918 Spanish Influenza. Let’s hope it doesn’t reach that level but we now live in the modern world 🌎 with faster ✈️+ 🚞 than 1918. @WHO and @CDCgov needs to declare public health emergency ASAP!"
2/People quarreled with the R0 that was in @DrEricDing's thread, but most epidemiologists and leaders and organizations missed the forest for the trees.
We know what happened since:
240 million cases worldwide
5 million deaths
46 million cases in the US
>750,000 deaths
3/It required quite a bit of analysis, judgment, and guts to issue that kind of warning.
Of course people didn't like to hear this kind of prediction. @dwallacewells has written about the criticism and pushback Eric faced. And how few listened.
4/Looking back it was not one lucky prediction. Throughout the pandemic @DrEricDing has been right numerous times while many other experts who were a lot more optimistic ended up being wrong.
From duration of vaccine efficacy to variants to issue of masks.
5/I remember CDC deciding in June that fully vaccinated can take off their masks. I like many thought it was a reasonable call. Eric disagreed strongly. Turned out he was right.
He is one of the people I'm glad I follow coz he is up to date on everything COVID. Thanks Eric.
6/Note that on the day he made the call, Jan 24, 2020 all of Europe had reported 3 cases. US had reported 2 cases. And @OurWorldInData doesn't start tracking till Jan 28, 2020. That's how early this warning was.And now, on omicron: On Dec 7, 2021, Eric sounded the alarm that omicron was pandemic 2.0.
A month later, our daily new cases have gone up >4 fold. Hospitals overwhelmed.In 45 days, omicron has caused massive problems. With 20 million cases and 60,000 deaths. Pandemic 2.0.
yes
On Jan 24, 2020 @DrEricDing posted a massive warning about the impending pandemic: The Holy Mother of God thread.
"We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen," Eric wrote.
As I read his thread again today, all of it has sadly come true
1/ ... He wrote:
"possibly an unchecked pandemic that the world has not seen since the 1918 Spanish Influenza. Let’s hope it doesn’t reach that level but we now live in the modern world with faster ️+ than 1918. @WHO and @CDCgov needs to declare public health emergency ASAP!"
2/ ... People quarreled with the R0 that was in @DrEricDing's thread, but most epidemiologists and leaders and organizations missed the forest for the trees.
We know what happened since:
240 million cases worldwide
5 million deaths
46 million cases in the US
>750,000 deaths
3/ ... It required quite a bit of analysis, judgment, and guts to issue that kind of warning.
Of course people didn't like to hear this kind of prediction. @dwallacewells has written about the criticism and pushback Eric faced. And how few listened.
4/ ... Looking back it was not one lucky prediction. Throughout the pandemic @DrEricDing has been right numerous times while many other experts who were a lot more optimistic ended up being wrong.
From duration of vaccine efficacy to variants to issue of masks.
5/ ... I remember CDC deciding in June that fully vaccinated can take off their masks. I like many thought it was a reasonable call. Eric disagreed strongly. Turned out he was right.
He is one of the people I'm glad I follow coz he is up to date on everything COVID. Thanks Eric.
6/ ... Note that on the day he made the call, Jan 24, 2020 all of Europe had reported 3 cases. US had reported 2 cases. And @OurWorldInData doesn't start tracking till Jan 28, 2020. That's how early this warning was. ... And now, on omicron: On Dec 7, 2021, Eric sounded the alarm that omicron was pandemic 2.0.
A month later, our daily new cases have gone up >4 fold. Hospitals overwhelmed. ... In 45 days, omicron has caused massive problems. With 20 million cases and 60,000 deaths. Pandemic 2.0.
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