@Brad_Setser

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Indeed. Excellent reporting from the China team of the Financial Times on why Xi seems to have agreed to a bit of fiscal stimulus 1/

So far it is a stimulus with a lot of Chinese characteristics -- refinancing existing debt isn't usually considered a stimulus (China is changing how the debt if financed tho), and buying up existing property is a bit of a bailout ... 2/

But no sign yet of real direct support for households: "Many agree that, while Xi’s thinking on the stimulus has changed, there is no sign yet of determined reforms or spending to rebalance the economy towards more household consumption" 3/

My sense, based largely on the anecdotes I heard on a fairly recent trip to China, is that pressure on local governments was in fact the main reason for the policy shift. 4/

Excellent reporting, and perfectly timed to help inform the discussion on China at the IMF's annual meeting this week 5/

A related take from Bloomberg's Shuli Ren

Indeed. Excellent reporting from the China team of the Financial Times on why Xi seems to have agreed to a bit of fiscal stimulus 1/ So far it is a stimulus with a lot of Chinese characteristics -- refinancing existing debt isn't usually considered a stimulus (China is changing how the debt if financed tho), and buying up existing property is a bit of a bailout ... 2/ But no sign yet of real direct support for households: "Many agree that, while Xi’s thinking on the stimulus has changed, there is no sign yet of determined reforms or spending to rebalance the economy towards more household consumption" 3/ My sense, based largely on the anecdotes I heard on a fairly recent trip to China, is that pressure on local governments was in fact the main reason for the policy shift. 4/ Excellent reporting, and perfectly timed to help inform the discussion on China at the IMF's annual meeting this week 5/ A related take from Bloomberg's Shuli Ren

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