FinFloww
FinFloww
@FinFloww
Jan 14 3 months ago 20 tweets Read on X

2029 will be the last election in India!

Not due to any political unrest, but because of rising costs

2019 election cost ₹60,000 Cr

2024? ₹1,35,000 Cr

At this rate, elections will soon be unaffordable

Enter: ONE NATION, ONE ELECTION

THREAD: Here’s how ONOE will fix this🧵

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“One Nation, One Election” refers to synchronizing the elections for various levels of govt — mainly Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha.

Currently, there’s a lot of debate around ONOE.

But first, let us focus on understanding the positive economic impact of simultaneous elections.

👉 Financial Implications:

It is quite obvious that India is frequently in an election mode which leads to massive expenditure.

Here’s a breakdown for 2019 general elections, which was the world’s most expensive until 2020 US presidential election:

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Now, when elections are not simultaneous, the expenditure for Lok Sabha is borne by the central govt & Vidhan Sabha is borne by the respective state govt.

For example, the state elections for Delhi and Haryana were held separately from the 2014 general elections.

And shockingly, their expenditure for state elections surpassed that for Lok Sabha elections.

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But the expenditure is distributed between the Centre and the states in the ratio of 50:50 (equally), whenever the elections are held simultaneously.

Segregated elections take away the opportunity from Election Commission to optimize for costs.

So, simultaneous elections can reduce the overall cost of holding elections, as administrative & logistical expenses are shared when multiple elections are conducted together.

👉 Effects on Governance:

Frequent elections disrupt governance & policymaking in more ways than one.

Firstly, although it seems that regular elections keep the politicians in check throughout their tenure,

the ruling parties end up investing their time and energy more on the elections to ensure the win of their respective parties rather than on the governance.

And apart from govt officials, election duty also diverts teachers, police and other security personnel who may need to take temporary leave from their regular jobs.

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Having simultaneous elections can potentially solve for that.

Now, apart from this, what’s the main debate around ONOE?

Why is it believed that it would cause harm to our constitution and democracy?

Why is the opposition calling it anti-federal?

Secondly, implementation of Model Code of Conduct (MCC) during elections often restricts govts from executing big development projects and infrastructure initiatives.

There is also a delay in decision-making process, all of which slows down the country’s growth for sometime.

First, we need to understand that Indian state is an amalgamation of federal and unitary form of government.

It is sometimes called quasi-federal.

Even Supreme Court of India describes it as a federal structure with a strong bias towards the Centre.

Now, federalism is important, especially in a country like ours, because it allows for the accommodation of diversity & regional autonomy.

Which is why there’s a criticism against ONOE:

That more people will vote for the same party at both Centre & state if that happens.

Which would mean centralization of power with the central govt

— leading to national issues overshadowing regional ones.

Even studies have concluded that the voters will find it difficult to make a choice,

so the chances of same party winning at both level does go up by 21.6% when their elections are held simultaneously.

While that is true to an extent, but it underestimates the growing political maturity of our voters.

As per a report by law commission, the onus is more on state parties for flagging the local issues appropriately before the voters.

Let’s take the example of Odisha.

Odisha is considered to be one of the poorest states in India and they have general elections and state elections at the same time.

In 2014, Biju Janta Dal increased its vote share in the Lok Sabha by a lot even though the national sentiment was in favour of BJP.

Having simultaneous elections never affected Odisha’s choice.

Nevertheless, provisions & amendments will have to be made that protect the federal spirit that unites India.

So, what do you think Bharat should do — continue with the current system, or streamline it into “One Nation, One Election”?

If you liked this read, do Repost🔄the 1st tweet and follow us for more such reads every Monday, Wednesday and Friday

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