Bill Sweetman
Bill Sweetman
@ValkStrategy
Jul 29 7 months ago 7 tweets Read on X
AI Summary

This thread says Putin’s plans got messed up. He thought Europe and Biden wouldn’t support Ukraine, but they did. He hoped a GOP win would weaken Biden, but that didn’t happen. If Trump or Vance win, Putin might get what he wants, but now Europe’s standing stronger. Putin’s stuck with problems he didn’t expect.

Strategy, a 🧵
You know whose strategy just took a hit? Putin's. And not for the first time. Here goes.

The three-day SMO. Pootster assumed that the Europeans wouldn't support Ukr without the US (prob correct at the time) and that Biden wouldn't have the political strength to get it done. Wrong, allowing Ukr to capitalize on early success./1

War of attrition. Putin no doubt hoped that a midterm bounce for the GOP would hobble Biden again. But McCarthy comes out of the first negotiation with the old codger minus his trousers. **** his mother! But Vlad isn't done./2

All he has to do is hang in there and make sure Trump gets elected. That goes well, with the support of the useful idiots in the White House press corps, and reliable Quisling Vance gets the VP nom. November 5, victory!/3

Well, now the US is in control. Trump, Vance, Rubio and Hedgseth quickly give Putin everything he wants. Surely now they'll force Zelensky to accept the humiliation, not only let them sell Ukr out to Putin but pay them to do it, and Europe won't even have a vote./4

But of course childish JD and senile Trump get mad and blow it. Europe, utterly disgusted, grows its own spine.
Putin has to dial up his war - and whether he can or not, with an effed-up economy and Xi just waiting to buy him up, he certainly didn't plan to be here./ends

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