𝗜𝗳 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗴𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝘄𝗮𝗿 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻 𝗮𝗳𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗣𝗮𝗵𝗮𝗹𝗴𝗮𝗺 𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗮𝗰𝗸… Will the stock market crash ? Which sectors will bleed ? Which stocks will benefit ? Can India take back PoK ? How many days war will last ? A detailed breakdown 🧵

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1/ What if India & Pakistan go to war after the Pahalgam terrorist attack? A major geopolitical escalation could have wide-ranging effects on India's economy, markets, and national strategy. Let’s break it down: #India #Pakistan #StockMarket #POK

2/ Immediate Response: If India responds militarily to the Pahalgam terror attack, expect: Volatile markets INR depreciation Flight of FII capital Rise in crude oil prices (depending on global sentiment) Gold and USD becoming safe-haven assets

3/ Stock Market Impact: 👉🏻Markets hate uncertainty. War = uncertainty. 👉🏻Nifty/Sensex could fall 10–20% short term 👉🏻VIX (volatility index) will spike 👉🏻Panic selling in broader market But this could also create opportunities.

4/ Sectors that will be NEGATIVELY affected: 👉🏻Banking & Finance – credit risk rises 👉🏻Automobiles – consumption slows 👉🏻Aviation – fuel costs, low travel 👉🏻Tourism & Hospitality – especially in North India

𝟱/ 𝗦𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗕𝗘𝗡𝗘𝗙𝗜𝗧: 👉🏻Defence & PSU stocks – HAL, BEL, BDL, Bharat Forge 👉🏻Logistics & Infra – L&T, Adani Ports 👉🏻Energy – ONGC, Oil India (oil demand up) 👉🏻Gold-related ETFs & stocks – Safe haven demand rises

𝟲/ 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗦𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗧𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲: 👉🏻0–5 days: Sharp fall 👉🏻5–30 days: Sector rotation, defensive stocks lead 👉🏻30–60 days: If India shows strong control & global support, recovery starts History shows market recovers fast post limited war

𝟳/ 𝗖𝗮𝗻 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝘄𝗶𝗻 & 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝗣𝗼𝗞?: Yes, militarily India is far stronger now. Challenges: Terrain, global pressure, risk of escalation Time to win POK? Could range from weeks to months, if full-scale ops launched Diplomacy + Strategy = Key

𝟴/ 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀: A military response is likely, but full-scale war is still uncertain Stock markets react first with fear, then with logic Smart investors will watch defence & infra Long-term: War boosts nationalism, defence spending, and economic resilience

9/ What's your take on how markets should prepare for geopolitical risk? Drop your thoughts below. #India #Geopolitics #POK #StockMarket #Investing