1/ Ukraine TVD, Day 921: As of 02 September, the VSRF retains the strategic initiative and positive operational momentum throughout the Ukrainian TVD. The ZSU continues efforts to expand the Kursk lodgment, with Russian ground forces attempting to push Ukrainian troops from Korenevo. OGV Sever offensive actions, through reduced in scale, maintain the ability to fix a significant number of Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv region. In the Donbas elements of the 90GTD, 27GMRD, and 201MRD carry on their advance towards Pokrovsk, with the 201MRD now threatening the operational flank of OSUV Tavriya south of the M30 highway. In Zaporizhzhia, OSV Vostok appears to be preparing for offensive action in the Vuhledararea. The VKS stepped up strikes on Ukraine's energy grid while the PSU conducted a large drone strike targeting fuel and energy complex facilities in the Moscow region. #UkraineRussiaWar️️ #UkraineFrontLines #RussianArmy #UkraineNeverSurrenders #Russia
2/ Current weather outlook for the Ukraine TVD. Weather will not significantly impact ongoing operations. Weather favors offensive action. Courtesy of @davidhelms570
2-3 SEP 2024: #NAFOWeather Isolated Rainshowers(south) Partly-Mostly Cloudy(elsewhere Ukraine) Wind from east at 3-10 m/s High Temp 30C WED-THU(4-5 SEP) Isolated Rainshowers(south) Partly-Mostly Cloudy(elsewhere Ukraine) High Temp 29C pic.twitter.com/hBngYYqUAQ
— David Helms (@davidhelms570) September 2, 2024
3/ Operational Terms. To assist in easy of comprehension of the threads graphics, here is a list of commonly used terms and their definitions. (note: I am still refining and updating this list, please bear with me as I do, thank you).
4/ Northern Strategic Direction: The ZSU will continue prioritizing offensive action in the Kursk Oblast to wrestle the strategic initiative away from the VSRF. Operational-Tactical Group (OTU) Sumy(?) will very likely maintain efforts to isolate the 155th Guards Naval Infantry
5/ Operational Direction Kursk: Operational-Tactical Group (OTU) Sumy(?) will very likely maintain efforts to isolate the 155th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade along the Glushkovo-Kulbaki-Yelizavetovka line (south of the Seym River). The 255th Assault and 101st Mechanized
6/ Operational Direction Kharkiv: 6th Combined Arms Army will carry on limited offensive action towards Lyptsi and Vovchansk. Forward units of the 18th Guards Motorized Rifle Division will almost certainly continue using small infantry assault groups to identify and target
7/ Donbas Strategic Direction: The SVRF will maintain their Main Effort toward Pokrovskspearheaded by OSV Trentr. Priority of reinforcements and TVD level assets will likely remain with 90GTD, 27GMRD, and 201MRD. 201MRD will likely pivot south from Ukrainsk to advance south
8/ Operational Direction Pokrovsk: The Operational Group of Forces Center (OSV Tsentr) will continue their assault west between the H32 and M30 highways to seize Pokrovsk and set conditions for further offensive action in western Donetsk Oblast. Supporting OSV Tsentr, the 51st
9/ This update kicks off a new effort to analyze theater-wide actions. These assessments will expand in scoop and scale, stay tuned for new platforms and media products to keep you up to date on not only the war in Ukraine but conflicts and geopolitical hotspots across the globe.
10/ This open-source operational summary of the Ukrainian TVD is based on information from the ZSU & VSRF daily operations briefs, various Ukrainian & Russian Telegram channels, western intel agencies public statements, military analysts, & my own professional experience. Any