#Map Donbas There are layers of forces and fortifications on top of topography, but Zerg grinding machine under command of Chaos Undivided doesn’t care about this and only AFU actions can stop the enemy.
1/7 Russia is advancing on multiple fronts: Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Veremiivka within the Vovcha river watershed. Direct attacks on Pokrovsk or Kurakhove are unlikely unless AFU resistance is minimal.
2/7 Russian forces have exploited gaps in Ukrainian defenses, using "encirclement" tactics to breach through. This large area requires significant resources to capture but opens many exploitable gaps.
3/7 Two key areas to watch: Vuhledar and Ukrainsk (Selidove mine). Both are compact, ridge-top settlements with minimal support behind them. Combined, they cover about 2000 km².
4/7 Vuhledar Russia’s strategy involves avoiding direct attacks on the town, pressuring AFU supply lines by targeting mines, and advancing towards Bohoyavlenka. They aim to create additional threats around Novoukrainka.
5/7 Ukrainsk (Selidove mine) There is a defensive diamond along the railroad from Selidove to Tsykuryne. Russia aims to capture Ukrainsk, compromising the defense and opening gaps to the west.
6/7 Russia’s strategy will focus on capturing Hirnyk and Selidove first before attacking Tsykuryne. This could open an 8km gap along the ridge. Recent defenses have struggled against such high density.
7/7 The ground situation is fluid. GSUA is anticipating mud, which might hinder AFU more than Russia. Despite counteractions, the density of Russian operations means significant defensive areas could be lost.
More text here https://t.co/ckAfnCcpFc