One Breakout Player For Every MLB Team in 2025
(Thread🧵)
#MLB
🧵LAA: Nolan Schanuel - (1B - 22)
It’s fair to say Schanuel's held his own in his career so far, being by OPS+ a league average hitter. Schanuel has a great contact hitting approach. He won’t whiff or chase much, and the strikeouts are limited. Schanuel should flash more power
🧵HOU: Hunter Brown - (RHP - 26)
We saw flashes of dominance across June and August where in both months Brown tallied 31.0 IP, recording a sub-1.50 ERA in both. Brown’s second half in 2024 was great. He recorded a 2.26 ERA across 71.1 IP. He also held opponents to a .221 BAA
🧵ATH: Tyler Soderstrom - (1B - 23)
Soderstrom had a tough go at it through the first half of the 2024 season, but in a small 12 G 2nd half he looked much better. His 2nd half slashline was .279/.340/.512 with an .852 OPS. The K% lowered to 17% while his BB% slightly dipped.
🧵TOR: Bowden Francis - (RHP - 28)
2025 is Francis' chance to put together a full consistent year as a starting pitcher. His 2024 2nd half was incredible, as he recorded a 1.80 ERA in 65.0 IP. He held batters to a slashline of .140/.188/.294 with 58 SO in that stretch as well.
🧵ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach - (RHP - 24)
Schwellenbach had a tough start to his 2024 season, but from July to the end of the season, he seemed to put it together. He had a sub-3.00 ERA in July, September and October. He also ranked in the 90-96th percentile in Chase%, BB%, and
🧵MIL: Garrett Mitchell - (CF - 26)
In 2024 Mitchell managed to increase his EV numbers, SLG, and his K% and BB%. With Christian Yelich expected to hit out of the DH role in 2025, Mitchell would get full reign of center field. A full season there should be a breakout one, as
🧵STL: Jordan Walker - (OF - 22)
While Walker’s struggled in the MLB, he looked better to end the 2024 season. In 24 G across Sept/Oct, Walker recorded a .253/.286/.494 slashline with a 115 wRC+. Walker flashed his power in that stretch hitting 5 HR and 6 2B. Only 22, Walker
🧵CHC: Matt Shaw - (INF - 23)
Shaw turned a lot of heads in 2024, recording a 146 wRC+ in 121 G across AA and AAA. Shaw hit for a .284/.379/.488 slashline, with 21 HR and 31 SB. The Cubs top prospect is a matured bat, that if up for Opening Day is in prime position to contend
🧵ARI: Adrian Del Castillo (C - 25)
Del Castillo showed great promise in 2024. In 25 G at the major league level in 2024, Del Castillo hit for a .313/.368/.525 slashline with 4 HR. In 105 G at the AAA level in 2024, he kept the AVG over .300 with a 144 wRC+.
🧵LAD: Roki Sasaki (RHP - 23)
The most obvious pick, the Japanese phenom undoubtedly will break out this season. Projected to record a 3.30 ERA with an 11.63 K/9, Sasaki is another name to watch for NL ROTY. A 70 grade fastball and an 80 grade splitter, he has generational stuff
🧵SFG: Hayden Birdsong (RHP - 23)
With help from Justin Verlander, Birdsong should be much improved in 2025. While he had a 4.75 ERA in 2024, he ranked in the 82nd/83rd percentiles in Whiff%/K%. If he can improve the HH% this season, he can be a big threat out of the SF
🧵CLE: Kyle Manzardo (DH/1B - 24)
With no Josh Naylor, Manzardo now looks to be the future 1B of the Guardians. In 2024 in AAA level, Manzardo had a .548 SLG, and a 143 wRC+ in 83 G. In that stretch he also hit 20 HR. With the BB% >15% and the K% <20%, he showed to be an elite
🧵Seattle Mariners - Bryan Woo (RHP - 25 y/o)
A popular pick for a 2025 breakout, Woo looked incredible for a majority of 2024. In terms of advanced metrics, Woo has elite command with a 2.8% BB% (100th percentile). He limits barreled contact at an elite clip as well, and
🧵MIA: Deyvison De Los Santos (1B/3B - 21)
De Los Santos has serious power upside. He could easily tally 30 HR a year, as he hit 40 in '24. On top of the power, De Los Santos put together very efficient production. Across AA and AAA in '24, he hit for a .294/.343/.571 slashline
🧵NYM: Ronny Mauricio (2B - 23)
Set to return in April after tearing his ACL last season, Mauricio would be a great piece to plug into the Mets INF. He posted a great 2023 slashline in AAA at .292/.346/.506. If he can stay healthy, the switch-hitter is a name to watch.
🧵WSN: DJ Herz (LHP - 24)
Herz showed promise in his 19 GS in 2024. A 3.26 xERA, Herz ranked in the 78-81 percentiles in Whiff%, K%, and HH%. His 2nd half was great in 2024, which may hint towards a full breakout in '25.
2nd half: 57.1 IP, 3.61 ERA, 10.20 K/9, 3.55 FIP, .194
🧵BAL: Jackson Holliday (2B - 21)
While his 2024 was very underwhelming, there's still hope for the former top prospect. He was able to find more power in August with 4 HR and a 97 wRC+. One would think Holliday should adjust more in '25 with the pressure of his debut gone.
🧵SD: Luis Campusano (C - 26)
Campusano flashed a solid bat at times in 2024, with a 106 wRC+ in Mar/Apr and a 142 wRC+ in July. His plate discipline was great across '23 and '24, keeping the K% under 15%. With more PA's in '25, Campusano can fully break out.
🧵PHI: Andrew Painter (RHP - 21 y/o)
Painter should break into the rotation at some point in 2025. At just 21-y/o, Painter has elite stuff. A 70 grade FB with a 60 grade Slider, he pairs his pitch mix with amazing control. Painter dominated the AFL in 2024 with a 2.30 ERA in
🧵PIT: Bubba Chandler (RHP - 22)
Another arm that should break the major league rotation in '25, Chandler has gained a ton of hype. A 3.08 ERA in 119.2 IP in 2024, he's poised to join Paul Skenes and Jared Jones to make an elite 1,2,3 punch in Pittsburgh.
🧵TEX: Kumar Rocker (RHP - 25)
Rocker made his long-awaited MLB debut in 2024, and across 11.2 IP recorded a 3.86 ERA. A great pitch mix with a 60 grade FB, Curve, and a 70 grade Slider, we've seen the stuff Rocker can put on display since his time with Vanderbilt.
🧵TB: Christopher Morel (OF - 25)
In a minor league park, this is Morel's best shot to break out. With 21 HR in 2024, he ranked in the 95th percentile for Bat Speed. Although the K% is still concerning, this environment with TB for a full year should work wonders for him.
🧵BOS: Kristian Campbell (INF/OF - 22)
The 2024 MiLB POTY had a breakout year in the system last season, and can follow it up with one in the MLB. Campbell hit .330 in 2024 with a 180 wRC+. A 20/20 guy as well, his defensive versatility can earn him a spot sooner than others in
🧵CIN: Rhett Lowder (RHP - 22)
Lowder flew through the system and showed great stuff in his short big league stint in '24. In 6 GS, Lowder recorded a 1.17 ERA across 30.2 IP. With 117.0 IP projected in 2025 by FGDC, Lowder should have plenty of time under his belt for a full
🧵COL: Michael Toglia (1B - 26)
Toglia showed some good stretches in '24, but nothing jaw-dropping. His advanced numbers were much better however. He ranked between the 90th-98th percentiles in xwOBA, xSLG, AvgEV, Barrel%, HH%, LA-SS%, & BB%. If the K's improve he may just fully
🧵KC: Gavin Cross (OF - 24)
With a 2025 ETA, Cross can impact this outfield with a big league call up this season. In 101 G in AA last year, he recorded a 115 wRC+, with 15 HR and 30 SB. He had a great stretch from May-July last year, and could be a great bat for KC against RHP.
🧵DET: Jackson Jobe (RHP - 22)
Jobe impressed the baseball world at the end of last season, displaying his velocity on a national stage. This will be his first full year in the rotation and if he goes the projected 101.0-130.0 IP, he should undoubtedly break out.
🧵MIN: Emmanuel Rodriguez (OF - 21)
E-Rod looked amazing in 2024 in 47 G with a 1.026 OPS. He hit 9 HR while recording 9 SB in that stretch, with a 184 wRC+. A 60 graded arm with 60 grade power, Rodriguez is a bat to watch in 2025.
🧵CWS: Noah Schultz (LHP - 21)
Schultz has been dominant his whole career in the minor leagues. He had a 2.24 ERA in 2024 across 23 starts. With a FB that can touch upper-90s and a 70 grade Slider, Chicago's top prospect should be up in 2025 for a potential breakout season.
🧵NYY: Ben Rice (1B/C - 25)
While the easy answer is Jasson Dominguez, Rice showed flashes of being a great everyday big leaguer in '24. His 1st half wRC+ of 125 was promising before some expected regression. A season learning from Paul Goldschmidt as well as possibly catching
One Breakout Player For Every MLB Team in 2025
(Thread🧵)
#MLB 🧵LAA: Nolan Schanuel - (1B - 22)
It’s fair to say Schanuel's held his own in his career so far, being by OPS+ a league average hitter. Schanuel has a great contact hitting approach. He won’t whiff or chase much, and the strikeouts are limited. Schanuel should flash more power 🧵HOU: Hunter Brown - (RHP - 26)
We saw flashes of dominance across June and August where in both months Brown tallied 31.0 IP, recording a sub-1.50 ERA in both. Brown’s second half in 2024 was great. He recorded a 2.26 ERA across 71.1 IP. He also held opponents to a .221 BAA 🧵ATH: Tyler Soderstrom - (1B - 23)
Soderstrom had a tough go at it through the first half of the 2024 season, but in a small 12 G 2nd half he looked much better. His 2nd half slashline was .279/.340/.512 with an .852 OPS. The K% lowered to 17% while his BB% slightly dipped. 🧵TOR: Bowden Francis - (RHP - 28)
2025 is Francis' chance to put together a full consistent year as a starting pitcher. His 2024 2nd half was incredible, as he recorded a 1.80 ERA in 65.0 IP. He held batters to a slashline of .140/.188/.294 with 58 SO in that stretch as well. 🧵ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach - (RHP - 24)
Schwellenbach had a tough start to his 2024 season, but from July to the end of the season, he seemed to put it together. He had a sub-3.00 ERA in July, September and October. He also ranked in the 90-96th percentile in Chase%, BB%, and 🧵MIL: Garrett Mitchell - (CF - 26)
In 2024 Mitchell managed to increase his EV numbers, SLG, and his K% and BB%. With Christian Yelich expected to hit out of the DH role in 2025, Mitchell would get full reign of center field. A full season there should be a breakout one, as 🧵STL: Jordan Walker - (OF - 22)
While Walker’s struggled in the MLB, he looked better to end the 2024 season. In 24 G across Sept/Oct, Walker recorded a .253/.286/.494 slashline with a 115 wRC+. Walker flashed his power in that stretch hitting 5 HR and 6 2B. Only 22, Walker 🧵CHC: Matt Shaw - (INF - 23)
Shaw turned a lot of heads in 2024, recording a 146 wRC+ in 121 G across AA and AAA. Shaw hit for a .284/.379/.488 slashline, with 21 HR and 31 SB. The Cubs top prospect is a matured bat, that if up for Opening Day is in prime position to contend 🧵ARI: Adrian Del Castillo (C - 25)
Del Castillo showed great promise in 2024. In 25 G at the major league level in 2024, Del Castillo hit for a .313/.368/.525 slashline with 4 HR. In 105 G at the AAA level in 2024, he kept the AVG over .300 with a 144 wRC+. 🧵LAD: Roki Sasaki (RHP - 23)
The most obvious pick, the Japanese phenom undoubtedly will break out this season. Projected to record a 3.30 ERA with an 11.63 K/9, Sasaki is another name to watch for NL ROTY. A 70 grade fastball and an 80 grade splitter, he has generational stuff 🧵SFG: Hayden Birdsong (RHP - 23)
With help from Justin Verlander, Birdsong should be much improved in 2025. While he had a 4.75 ERA in 2024, he ranked in the 82nd/83rd percentiles in Whiff%/K%. If he can improve the HH% this season, he can be a big threat out of the SF 🧵CLE: Kyle Manzardo (DH/1B - 24)
With no Josh Naylor, Manzardo now looks to be the future 1B of the Guardians. In 2024 in AAA level, Manzardo had a .548 SLG, and a 143 wRC+ in 83 G. In that stretch he also hit 20 HR. With the BB% >15% and the K% <20%, he showed to be an elite 🧵Seattle Mariners - Bryan Woo (RHP - 25 y/o)
A popular pick for a 2025 breakout, Woo looked incredible for a majority of 2024. In terms of advanced metrics, Woo has elite command with a 2.8% BB% (100th percentile). He limits barreled contact at an elite clip as well, and 🧵MIA: Deyvison De Los Santos (1B/3B - 21)
De Los Santos has serious power upside. He could easily tally 30 HR a year, as he hit 40 in '24. On top of the power, De Los Santos put together very efficient production. Across AA and AAA in '24, he hit for a .294/.343/.571 slashline 🧵NYM: Ronny Mauricio (2B - 23)
Set to return in April after tearing his ACL last season, Mauricio would be a great piece to plug into the Mets INF. He posted a great 2023 slashline in AAA at .292/.346/.506. If he can stay healthy, the switch-hitter is a name to watch. 🧵WSN: DJ Herz (LHP - 24)
Herz showed promise in his 19 GS in 2024. A 3.26 xERA, Herz ranked in the 78-81 percentiles in Whiff%, K%, and HH%. His 2nd half was great in 2024, which may hint towards a full breakout in '25.
2nd half: 57.1 IP, 3.61 ERA, 10.20 K/9, 3.55 FIP, .194 🧵BAL: Jackson Holliday (2B - 21)
While his 2024 was very underwhelming, there's still hope for the former top prospect. He was able to find more power in August with 4 HR and a 97 wRC+. One would think Holliday should adjust more in '25 with the pressure of his debut gone. 🧵SD: Luis Campusano (C - 26)
Campusano flashed a solid bat at times in 2024, with a 106 wRC+ in Mar/Apr and a 142 wRC+ in July. His plate discipline was great across '23 and '24, keeping the K% under 15%. With more PA's in '25, Campusano can fully break out. 🧵PHI: Andrew Painter (RHP - 21 y/o)
Painter should break into the rotation at some point in 2025. At just 21-y/o, Painter has elite stuff. A 70 grade FB with a 60 grade Slider, he pairs his pitch mix with amazing control. Painter dominated the AFL in 2024 with a 2.30 ERA in 🧵PIT: Bubba Chandler (RHP - 22)
Another arm that should break the major league rotation in '25, Chandler has gained a ton of hype. A 3.08 ERA in 119.2 IP in 2024, he's poised to join Paul Skenes and Jared Jones to make an elite 1,2,3 punch in Pittsburgh. 🧵TEX: Kumar Rocker (RHP - 25)
Rocker made his long-awaited MLB debut in 2024, and across 11.2 IP recorded a 3.86 ERA. A great pitch mix with a 60 grade FB, Curve, and a 70 grade Slider, we've seen the stuff Rocker can put on display since his time with Vanderbilt. 🧵TB: Christopher Morel (OF - 25)
In a minor league park, this is Morel's best shot to break out. With 21 HR in 2024, he ranked in the 95th percentile for Bat Speed. Although the K% is still concerning, this environment with TB for a full year should work wonders for him. 🧵BOS: Kristian Campbell (INF/OF - 22)
The 2024 MiLB POTY had a breakout year in the system last season, and can follow it up with one in the MLB. Campbell hit .330 in 2024 with a 180 wRC+. A 20/20 guy as well, his defensive versatility can earn him a spot sooner than others in 🧵CIN: Rhett Lowder (RHP - 22)
Lowder flew through the system and showed great stuff in his short big league stint in '24. In 6 GS, Lowder recorded a 1.17 ERA across 30.2 IP. With 117.0 IP projected in 2025 by FGDC, Lowder should have plenty of time under his belt for a full 🧵COL: Michael Toglia (1B - 26)
Toglia showed some good stretches in '24, but nothing jaw-dropping. His advanced numbers were much better however. He ranked between the 90th-98th percentiles in xwOBA, xSLG, AvgEV, Barrel%, HH%, LA-SS%, & BB%. If the K's improve he may just fully 🧵KC: Gavin Cross (OF - 24)
With a 2025 ETA, Cross can impact this outfield with a big league call up this season. In 101 G in AA last year, he recorded a 115 wRC+, with 15 HR and 30 SB. He had a great stretch from May-July last year, and could be a great bat for KC against RHP. 🧵DET: Jackson Jobe (RHP - 22)
Jobe impressed the baseball world at the end of last season, displaying his velocity on a national stage. This will be his first full year in the rotation and if he goes the projected 101.0-130.0 IP, he should undoubtedly break out. 🧵MIN: Emmanuel Rodriguez (OF - 21)
E-Rod looked amazing in 2024 in 47 G with a 1.026 OPS. He hit 9 HR while recording 9 SB in that stretch, with a 184 wRC+. A 60 graded arm with 60 grade power, Rodriguez is a bat to watch in 2025. 🧵CWS: Noah Schultz (LHP - 21)
Schultz has been dominant his whole career in the minor leagues. He had a 2.24 ERA in 2024 across 23 starts. With a FB that can touch upper-90s and a 70 grade Slider, Chicago's top prospect should be up in 2025 for a potential breakout season. 🧵NYY: Ben Rice (1B/C - 25)
While the easy answer is Jasson Dominguez, Rice showed flashes of being a great everyday big leaguer in '24. His 1st half wRC+ of 125 was promising before some expected regression. A season learning from Paul Goldschmidt as well as possibly catching
